Thursday, March 6, 2025

ONGKOS MADANI - SKIM UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME 2022

 UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME

SKIM BANTUAN SARA HIDUP DALAM BENTUK


  • WANG TUNAI

  • KESIHATAN & PERUBATAN

  • PENCEN


melalui,


  • CUKAI BAHAN API FOSIL

  • TARIF ELEKTRIK

  • TARIF BEKALAN AIR

  • CUKAI TAMBAH NILAI (VAT)





Disediakan oleh

Dr Daniel Lam Chun Chang

Manis Majujaya Sdn Bhd, 

(R&D, Engineering Procurement, 

Consultant and Property Developer)

Kuala Lumpur 

19hb Januari 2023

Universal Basic Income       

FACT SHEET Date: 19/1/2023

By: Dr Daniel Lam Chun Chang - lam1133@gmail.com

Whatsapp: 013 419 4191 or 019 4191349

___________________________________________________________________________

  1. Universal Basic Income  (UBI) is a free money payout scheme to all Malaysian Citizens.   

  2. UBI will ‘raise the floor’ from zero to the minimum basic needy amount.

  3. Payout of UBI is in the form of

    1. Cash 

    2. Contribution to Kumpulan Wang Simpanan Rakyat (to be incorporated under Ministry of Finance Incorporated)

    3. Premium to National Healthcare Insurance Programme (NHIP)

    4. Payout to Federal Government - 1/12 of total VAT revenue - as expenses to manage the UBI scheme,

    5. Payout to State Government - 1/12 of total VAT revenue - as an incentive in creating GDP of the state.

    6. Tabulation of UBI Payout: Based on 3 age groups:

      1. Group 1 -  0-17, from date of birth till last day of age 17,

      2. Group 2 - 18 -64, from 18th birthday till last day of age 64, and 

      3. Group 65 - from 65th birthday on wards.

  

Age

Population*1

Cash

(RM) 

Per month

NHIP (RM)

Per Month

KWPR (RM)

Per 

Month

Amount (RM)

Per Month

Total Amount (RM Billion)

0-17

9.11 mil

92 to 400

23 - 100

23 - 100

138 - 600

15.1 - 67.2

18-64

18.95 mil

230 to 1000

23 - 100 

23 - 100 

276 - 1,200

62.9 - 279.5

Above 65

2.22 mil

115 to  500

23 - 100

-

138 - 600

3.7 - 16.4

Total

30.28 mil





81.7 - 363.1

Note *1: Source - Statistics Department of Malaysia 2022

  1. Receivable of UBI scheme is from the following:

  • Fossil Fuel Tax,

  • Energy/ Electricity Surcharge,

  • Water Supply Surcharge, and 

  • Value Added Tax on all goods and service

 

  1. Receivable 1 : Fossil Fuel Tax, Water Supply and Energy Surcharge:-




Description

Unit

Volume

*2

Fossil Fuel Tax / Duty (RM)

Amount 

(RM ‘Billion)

Liquified Natural Gas / Petroleum Gas

Billion mmBTU

0.65

10.80 to 36.00

7.70 - 37.10

Petrol/Gasoline/Diesel/Fuel Oil/Kerosene/ATF & AVGAS

Billion liters

38.72

60 sen to 2.40

18.2 - 97.60

Non - Energy Petroleum Product

Million Metric  tonnes

0.9

150 to 500

0.22 - 0.68

Coal and Coke

Million Metric Tonnes

25.00

150 to 500

3.80 - 20.20

Total Fossil Fuel Tax




29.9 - 155.60

Electricity 

KWH

121B

3  to 10sen

2.30 - 12.10

Water Supply

M3

2.50B

90sen to 3.00

2.30 - 7.50

TOTAL 




34.50 - 175.20

Note:*2 Source : Energy Handbook Malaysia 2019










  1. Receivable 2 : Value Added Tax



Description

Before UBI 

(RM Billion) FYE2022est

Additional on UBI 

(RM Billion)

Upon UBI 

(RM Billion)

Domestic Private Consumption

999

22 - 572

1021 - 1571

Domestic Investment

241

5 - 138

246 - 379

Domestic Public Consumption

199

305 -  1454 

504 - 1653

Domestic Public Investment

70 

2  -  40

72  - 110

Export

1465

200 - 648

1665 - 2113

Import

1178

200 - 648

1378 - 1826

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) FYE 2022est based on 

US$ 1 = M$4.35

1,796

(US$413 Bil)


2,130 - 4000

(US$490 Bil- U$920 Bil)


Operating GDP (GOS)  FYE2022

Based on 65% of GDP

1167


1385 - 2600

VAT (3% - 12%) for UBI  (maximum collectable amount)



41   -   312

VAT (0.25%  -  1% ) for Treasury Receivable



4   -   26

VAT (0.25% -  1%)  for Disbursement to State Government



4   -  26

Note: Source - Malaysian Budget 2023 (Tinjauan Ekonomi 2023)








  1.  Total Receivable vs Total Payout



Description

Amount - 

RM Billion

Remark

Fossil Fuel Tax

29.90 -155.60


Electricity Tariff

2.30 - 12.10


Water Tariff

2.30  -  7.50


Value Added Tax

35.00 - 312.00 *n

Upper limit

Value Added Tax 

22.75 - 234.00

Lower limit

Total Receivable (upper limit)

69.50 -  487.20


Total Receivable (lower limit)

57.25 - 409.20


Total Payout (upper limit)

(86.89) - (403.66)


Total Payout (lower limit)

(85.59) -  (393.52)


Difference (upper limit) 

(17.39) - +93.70


Difference (lower limit)

(29.63) - +43.01


   


*n : Value added Tax of RM35.00 to 312.00 billion is the upper limit of collectable VAT amount.  However, the efficiency of  VAT collection is at stake. An estimation of 75% of VAT to be collected (treated as lower limit).  














NOTES ON ASSUMPTIONS


  • Deficit (M$5.3 Billion) will be traded off against the savings from cancellation and discontinuation of allowance and benefits, grants and various social welfare such as the gasoline allowance up to M$1.00 per litre (means M$35 billion saving)

 

  • Federal Government will receivel 1/12 of the gross collection of VAT = M$4 to M$26 billion


  • State Governments will be paid (1/12 of the gross collection of VAT) which is based on the state population and GDPs generated by various states, 


  • Adjustment of Retail Price of Gasoline as follows:

    • Upper Unit Retail Price-Gasoline 95 - RM2.05 + 2.80 + 1.00 = RM5.85 / litre

    • Lower Unit Retail Price-Gasoline 95 - RM2.05 + 0.60 + 1.00 = RM3.65 / litre

    • Upper Unit Retail Price- Gasoline 97- RM3.36 + 2.80 = RM6.16 / litre

    • Low Unit Retail Price - Gasoline 97 - RM3.95 + 0.60 = RM4.55 / litre

    • Upper Unit Retail Price - Diesel -      RM2.15 + 2.80 + 1.00 = RM5.95 / litre

    • Lower Unit Retail Price - Diesel - RM2.15 + 0.60 + 1.00 = RM3.75 / litre

(Note: assumption is based on World Oil Price WTI Crude at  US$78.32 per barrel, Brent Crude at US$84.03 per barrel as at 16/01/2023 and Malaysian Government Controlled Price as at Week 2 /2023) 


  • Adjustment of Electricity Bill

    • Fossil Fuel Tax -from M$ 7.5to 30.0 Bil / 120K GWh = 6.30 to 25.00 sen / KWh

    • Additional Tax -  3.00 sen to 12.00 sen per KWh

    • Domestic Tariff 

      • 1st 200 KWh  - 21.80sen to 31.10 - 58.80 sen

      • Next 100 KWH - 33.40 sen to 42.70 - 70.40 sen

      • Next 300 KWH - 51.60 sen to 60.90 - 88.60 sen

      • Next 300 KWH - 54.60 sen to 63.90 -  91.60 sen

      • > 900 KWH  - 57.10 sen to 66.40 - 94.10 sen

    •  Commercial

      •  peak period - 36.50 sen to 45.80 -  73.50 sen

      • Off peak - 22.40 sen to 31.70 - 59.40 sen


  • Adjustment of Water Bill

    • Air Selangor - Domestic Residential

      • 0-20m3 - 57 sen to M$1.47 - M$4.17

      • 21 - 35m3 - M$1.03 to M$1.93 - M$4.63

      • Above 35m3 - M$2.00 to M$2.90 - M$5.60

    • Air Selangor - Commercial 

      • Up to 35m3 - M$2.07 to M$2.97  -  M$5.67

      • Above 35m3 - M$2.28 to M$3.18  -  M$5.88

    • Air Selangor - Apartment

      • From 80sen to M$1.73 - M$3.80 per m3







  1. Household Income 


  • B40’s average household income  

    • Year 1 - UBI of RM883 per month per household,  

    • Up from RM3,165 to RM4,048 (up 28%).


  • Year 12 - UBI of M$3,840 per month per household, 

  • Up from  RM3,165 to RM7,005 (increase 121% !)


  • M40’s average household income 

    • Year 1 - UBI of RM883 per month per household,

    •  Up  from  RM7,335 to RM8,218 (up 12%).

 

  • Year 12 - UBI of RM3,840 per month per household

  • Up from RM7,335 to RM-11,175, (increase 52%).  


  • T20’s average household income 

    • Year 1 - UBI of RM883 per month per household, 

    • Up from RM16,184 to RM17,067 (up 5%)


  • Year 12  - UBI of RM3,840 per month per household,

  • Up from RM16,184 to RM20,024 (up 24%).     


  • A significant  increase in B40’s household income  will create positive social impact ie. less crime, more celebrations, higher spending power, better quality food, quality education and living conditions for children, etc.














Household Group (based on 2019)

Prior UBI

(RM) *3  [2019]

Average UBI Payout

(RM) based on 4.4 px / household

Upon UBI (RM)

% Change

Mean Income (In general)

7,901

883 - 3,840

8,784 - 11,741

11% - 49%

Median Income (In general) 

5,873

883 - 3,840

6,756 - 9,713

15% - 65%

B40 - B1

1,929

883 - 3,840

2,812 - 5,769

46% - 199%

B40 - B2

2,786

883 -  3,840

3,669 - 6,626

32% - 138%

B40 - B3

3,556

883 -  3,840

4,439 - 7,396

25% - 108%

B40 - B4 

4,387

883 - 3,840

5,270 - 8,227

20% -  88%

M40 - M1

5,336

883 - 3,840

6,219 - 8,576

17% - 61%

M40 - M2

6,471

883 - 3,840

7,354 - 10,311

14% - 59%

M40 - M3

7,828

883 - 3,840

8,711 - 11,668

11% -  49%

M40 - M4

9,695

883 - 3,840

10,578 - 13,535

9% - 40%

T20 - T1

12,586

883 - 3,840

13,469 - 16,426

7% - 31%

T20 - T2

19,781

883 - 3,840

20,664- 23,621

4% - 19%















  1. Inflation - Price adjustment


  • Fuel Cost: 

    • 1% up on fuel cost =  0.06% on total cost for product and service.  

    • Fuel cost increases ie RON 95 - M$2.05, gradually increase from M$4.15 to M$6.35 per litre, 

    • a surge price of of 102% to 210% on fuel cost,

    • 6.12% to 12.6% increase of total cost of production for good and service.


  • VAT:  

    • A gradual taxation of 3% to 12% on all cost of good and service.


  • Change of Cost of Living: 

    • An increase of 6.30 - 14.1% on total cost of living. 


  1. Government Debt


  • With UBI, increase in public expenditure and its multiplying effect will surge result to a surge in GDP from RM1.796 trillion to RM2.13 trillion - RM4.00 trillion.  

  • Government DEBT / GDP ratio will DROP from 62% to 34%, meaning there is a permissible debt gap of 21% (RM 1,155billion) to the miracle number of 55% Debt over GDP.  


Description

GDP 2022

(RM Billion)

Debt  2022est

(RM Billion)

% Debt

over GDP


Prior UBI 

1,796

1,045

58%


Upon UBI

4,000

1,045

26%


Permissible Debt


2,200

55%


Gap


1,155




  1. Kumpulan Wang Persaraan Rakyat (KWPR)


  • Under the UBI scheme, each citizen aged between 0 to 64 will receive a monthly subscription of RM23 to RM100 per month, 

  • Total contribution is RM7.76 billion (Year 1) to RM34.49 Billion (Year 12) - totalling RM252.42 billion.   


  • Contributions from KWPR are proposed to acquire toll highways concessionaire companies namely PLUS from Khazanah and KWSP. Toll collections form part of the long term revenue of KWPR.


  • KWPR can then also invest into future HSR (JB - KUL - Penang - Padang Besar - Bangkok), future MRTs and LRTs in Kuala Lumpur, Johor Bahru and Penang, ECRL, 5K Klang River Expressway, Sungai Klang - Sri Muda Smart Canal Project, etc.


  • The recurring income from KWPR Fund is served as pension provident fund for RAKYAT Malaysia.

  • Monthly Pension Payout to be made to all RAKYAT aged above 65 onwards




  1. BENEFIT TO MALAYSIANS ONLY

  • UBI benefits RAKYAT Malaysia BUT NOT for Non citizens.

  • Malaysia has 30.28 million RAKYAT Malaysia.

  • 18.95 million aged 18 to 64,

  • 9.11 million aged 0 to 17,

  • 2.22 million WARGA EMAS  (RAKYAT Malaysia age 65 and above, 

  • In addition, there are 2.40 million Registered Non Residents, mostly general labourers from Bangladesh, Indonesia, Nepal, India and Pakistan.

  

  • Non-Malaysians will be subjected to an adjustment in basic cost of living of 6.3% at year 1 till  14.1% at year 12.  Pressure on pay rise may happen to all sectors of industries and service providers, as well as the cost of products and services.    







  1. Welfare State


  • Upon UBI, Malaysians will receive free money, which is enough for basic needs. 


  • Critical help to B40 households, especially to the widows with dependents. 


  • Essential needs to the unemployed citizens, basic income while they are looking for jobs. 


  • More youngsters can then use the money for further studies and training.


  • Eliminate diesel/fuel oil smuggling




  1. Personal Income Taxation


  • With UBI, all Malaysians (aged 18 and above) are required to establish personal income tax files.  Annual income return to be filed by each Malaysian Citizen.


  • Proposed that Personal Income Tax of the previous year to be settled before receiving the forthcoming UBI payout.


  1. Discipline, Well Being, Decent, Progressive Society


  • UBI shall institute a scheme in helping to form a Decent Living Environment for the RAKYAT by looking after their basic surviving needs in the form of  CASH for foods and basic needs, a basic health care program and a pension programme for WARGA EMAS.

  • UBI helps to make the RAKYAT be more discipline and well being. 

  • UBI helps the Government in saving on the allocation on social benefits and grants, instead, it then to be channeled for other development and operating expenditure,

  • UBI helps to “raise” the household incomes, hence eliminating the poverty in terms of household incomes,

  • UBI helps the to improve the living standard the needy groups, namely RAKYATs especially Orang Asals at the rural areas in Semenanjung, bumiputeras in the inner and rural jungles in Sabah and Sarawak, bumiputeras living at the coastal areas in Kudat, Sandakan, Lahad Datu, Semporna, Tawau, and Kalabakan, Sabah, poor Indian families in the estates in Semenanjung Malaysia.

  • UBI provide youngsters especially age 15 to 25 for they may use these monies and benefit for Further Studies, TVET, Business Start UP, etc.

  • UBI helps to discipline the RAKYATs on the essentiality of energy and resources - MORE EXPENSIVE of gasoline, water and electricity, MEANS careful and thrifty when using it,

  • UBI helps to prevent leakage by ADJUSTING the retail price of gasoline and diesel which is equivalent to International Price ie. Thailand, Indonesia, Philippines, etc.  UBI prevents smuggling of gasoline and diesel to neighbouring countries.

  • UBI imposes Value Added Tax (VAT) on all goods and services, which, in return the monies to be distributed to the RAKYATs.  A 1/12 portion of VAT would be distributed as incentives to all States Government according to the populations and amount of GDPs generated respectively; that thus will make the States Governments to work towards a more progressive and productive Malaysia.




Prepared by :

Dr Daniel Lam Chun Chang

Kuala Lumpur

19th January 2022


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